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NCAA Power Ratings/Picks

Power rating picks for every game involving 1-A teams will be available right here every week during the regular season. Ken has been using his own power rating formula since the early 70s. Follow the game picks regularly, and you’ll usually see an accuracy over 70% sometimes approaching 75% picking outright winners.  

 

Tuesday, November 22, 2011
Miami,O  93.7Ohio U101.7Ohio U  8
Thursday, November 24, 2011
Texas108.6Texas A&M126.1Texas A&M18

Friday, November 25, 2011

Bowling Green  87.3Buffalo  88.8Buffalo  1
E Michigan  82.2N Illinois113.6N Illinois31
Kent State  88.1Temple  98.2Temple10
Akron  58.7W Michigan107.5W Michigan49
Toledo102.5Ball State  93.0Toledo  9
Louisville110.0So Florida110.5USF  1
Houston110.9Tulsa111.2Tulsa  0
Iowa  98.4Nebraska110.1Nebraska12
Pittsburgh  97.5W Virginia114.6W Virginia17
Arkansas111.1LSU127.5LSU16
Colorado  87.6Utah106.3Utah19
UTEP92.4UCF105.7UCF13
California107.3Arizona State115.5Arizona State  8
Boston College100.7Miami,Fla115.3Miami, Fla15

     Saturday, November 26, 2011

Ohio State101.2Michigan120.4Michigan19
Missouri120.8Kansas  76.3Missouri44
Rutgers104.9Connecticut  94.1Rutgers11
Cincinnati105.2Syracuse106.6Syracuse  1
Michigan State106.6Northwestern  97.0Michigan State10
Purdue  96.1Indiana  90.3Purdue  6
Illinois100.9Minnesota  88.1Illinois13
Georgia116.7Georgia Tech117.7Ga Tech  1
Vanderbilt102.9Wake Forest110.3Wake Forest  8
Clemson104.1South Carolina118.7South Carolina15
Maryland  95.2NC State112.3NC State17
Duke  93.3N Carolina108.0N Carolina15
Tennessee  99.2Kentucky  97.7Tennessee  1
Wyoming  87.7Boise State114.5Boise State27
Nevada  96.1Utah State  96.5Utah State  0
Rice  83.1SMU103.9SMU11
Alabama135.7Auburn102.9Alabama33
Oregon Sate  97.8Oregon125.7Oregon28
Virginia Tech118.8Virginia 100.3 Virginia Tech18
Penn State109.4Wisconsin133.4Wisconsin 24
Texas Tech109.8Baylor100.5Texas Tech  9
Florida State121.8Florida113.4Florida State  8
E Carolina  81.4Marshall106.4Marshall25
New Mexico St  81.7Louisiana Tech  90.7Louisiana Tech  9
Memphis  70.9Southern Miss104.0Southern Miss33
Air Force100.8Colorado State  86.6Air Force14
Washington State  95.6Washington112.6Washington17
Mississippi  88.4Mississippi State114.5Mississippi State26
Notre Dame115.0Stanford128.8Stanford14
San Jose St  87.4Fresno State  85.8San Jose St  2
Iowa State107.4Oklahoma127.7Oklahoma20
San Diego State  98.1UNLV102.3UNLV  4
UCLA  92.9USC119.5USC27
Tulane  85.0Hawaii  97.8Hawaii13
Troy  88.4W Kentucky  98.7W Kentucky10
La-Lafayette  96.7Arizona110.8Arizona14
Fla International  97.9Middle Tenn St  73.6Fla Int24
UAB  79.0Fla Atlantic  65.4UAB14

   Wins/Losses by Power Rating:  Last Week: 39-15  72.2%  Season: 392-160  71.0

 

               TOP 30

   1.  Alabama                134.1 

   2.  LSU                        132.2

   3.  Oklahoma             131.8

   4.  Oregon                  129.3  

   5.  Stanford                129.1   

   6.  Oklahoma State   127.8 

   7.  Wisconsin              125.4  

   8.  Arkansas                120.9 

   9.  Florida State          120.2

 10.  USC                         119.7

 11.  Boise State            119.5

 12.  Missouri                  117.8

 13.  Texas A&M            118.7

 14.  Georgia                  118.6

 15.  Kans State             118.2  

 16.  Houston                  117.8

 17.  South Carolina      117.5 

 18.  Michigan                 116.4   

 20.  Notre Dame           116.3 

 21.  West Virginia         114.6   

 21.  Arizona State        114.4 

 23.  Texas                     114.1 

 24.  Miami, Fla               113.6      

 25.  Clemson                 113.1  

 26.  TCU                         112.9

27.   Baylor                    112.7                  

 28.  Michigan State       112.6

 29.  Utah                        112.1

 30.  Ga Tech                  112.0

NCAA Conference Predictions:   

 

NOTE: Researching when each college football team played it's first game is challenging to say the least. Information available at College Football Data Warehouse (www.collegefootballdatawarehouse.com) has been a real blessing. The theory employed here is that when a team plays its first regular game, that is the actual "birth" of the team. There are questions that do arise and those will be talked about in another section of this site at another time.  When making season predictions, the two major consideration are a progressed (one day for each year of existence-Florida State played its first game in 1947. To see a progressed chart for 2011 we would see where the planets and major points are 64 days after October 18, 1947 in comparison to the positions at birth) declination chart and a transiting declinations for the season. The declinations are where the planets were north or south of the celestial equator at the birth of an event or individual. 

The primary research challenge is to isolate a date when a nickname began. As an example, Florida played several years of football before the name Gators became accepted as the nickname. There has been discussion as to exactly when Gators became official, but in reviewing several charts for football dates in 1908 and the next year or two, October 10, 1908 vibrates very well considering the timing of championship seasons and coaching changes. It seems that one storekeeper was visiting a manufacturer of pennants in 1907 and liked the alligator as a nickname and ordered a bunch and sold them in his store in 1908.  In astrology there is a method for determining the time of birth of an individual called rectification. The best comparison of this procedure would be "back-engineering" (when we hear about all those alien spacecraft that have been recovered and taken to Area 51).  Astrologers will take major events such as marriage, birth of children, divorce, deaths of family members, relocation and major job changes, etc to give us an idea of a rising sign and ultimately a birth time. I like to use the progressed Moon and a graphic declination chart for a rectification. I find it a timesaver.

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SEC-The SEC West is where the power is year just like the last several. The Big Three teams are the usual suspects Alabama and LSU with Arkansas getting ready to knock on the door. Ole Miss could surprise a few after last year's 4-win season.  Auburn will be looking to reload and Mississippi State looks like they could maintain last year's success level. It looks like everyone from this division could be in a bowl this year. If the LSU quarterback situation remains stable and at this writing(8/21) that could be a big "if" I pick LSU to win this division and the SEC championship. In the SEC East South Carolina should repeat as division champ. Georgia could rebound and claim second place. The Gators have a new coach but still could win 8 or 9 games. Tennessee should improve and Kentucky will flirt with a breakeven season and Vandy brings up the rear. SEC champ: LSU

Atlantic Coast Conference- So many pundits say Florida State in the Atlantic division. It may not be easy. NC State and Maryland have some favorable aspects but I'll go with FSU but I'm not sold on them having a super year. 2014 and 2015 are years where the 'Noles could grab a national championship. Anything before then will be lots of hard work. The Coastal division will be Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech. Virgina Tech over Florida State again for the ACC Championship.

Big East-By far the weakest of the BCS conferences. Maybe TCU can save it but we'll have to wait on the jury to see. Meanwhile The Connecticut Huskies look like the team with the best chance and believe it or not, but I think Syracuse will make a run at the top the next two years. Several other teams are showing some sparks such as Louisville and Rutgers but not the magic ring for this season. Big East Champion: Connecticut

 

Big Ten(+2) The brainchild that came up with the names of the new conference divisions...at least they are alliterate. Leaders: Ohio State is recovering from the progressed Moon parallel Pluto so the other powerhouse in that division, Wisconsin has the progressed Moon parallel the natal North node. This aspect is common when teams or athletes experience record breaking or championship seasons. Even though the Badger QB doesn't have a lot of experience, I pick Wisconsin 1, Penn State 2, Ohio State 3. Look for Purdue to make some noise as they have the progressed Moon at the Northern Extreme(NE).  Legends: A two-team battle for the division championship. Nebraska and Michigan State. Nebraska's NE Moon is declining while The Spartan progressed Moon is at the NE peak with the natal north node.  Michigan State 1, Nebraska 2.  Michigan State to win the Big 10 championship!

Big 12-2  Pfffft it was gone!  We may be in for major conference reshuffling especially if/when Texas A&M leaves for the SEC. People are pissed that Texas has its own TV network with lots of bucks. The problem with these mega conferences is that when you get too many powerful schools in the same conference, It makes it harder to be number one in that conference. I personally think a 12-team league is about right.  So in this year of flux for what used to be the Big 12 and looks like it's reverting back to the Big Eight, Oklahoma has the progressed Moon at the NE with the north node. Texas A&M has some favorable things working this year but it looks like Oklahoma 1, Texas A&M 2, Missouri 3 and Baylor the surprise team of the conference. Champion: Oklahoma

Pac 12-The northern division holds the elite power of this newly expanded conference...for the time being. Chip Kelly's program at Oregon could be in the NCAA jailhouse(which needs to be expanded) and throws  black clouds over Eugene and many other college towns around the country. The residue of a successful season last year may carry over but if Stanford can survive a coaching change they should finish on top in this division and take the first Pac 12 play-off game. Stanford, Oregon and Cal should be 1-2-3 in the north. The southern division is wide open. We know USC isn't going to the championship game no matter what their record. Utah has the best aspects and just might surprise a few so-called experts. Arizona and UCLA should be bowling and Arizona State should have a winning season. Setting USC aside, it will be Utah, Arizona, Arizona State and UCLA.  Pac 12 champ: Stanford

Others- Looking at Boise State, Notre Dame, TCU, and BYU.  The Broncos are at the progressed Moon southern extreme which often coincides with good years but 2014 and 2015 are years where Boise State will be challenging the BCS again.  Notre Dame has a progressed Moon // Jupiter which could mean 9 or 10 victories at best.  BYU shows no indication of banner seasons for awhile. TCU is an unknown as it has been difficult to come up with a date when Horned Frogs became the official nickname. Horned Frog was used from the beginning of their football teams in the 1890s but the plural usage is what I'm searching for. When time permits, I'll do some more rectification on that one.

 


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