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NCAA Power Ratings/Picks
Power rating picks for every game
involving 1-A teams will be available right here every week during the
regular season. Ken has been using his own power rating formula since
the early 70s. Follow the game picks regularly, and you’ll usually see an
accuracy over 70% sometimes approaching 75% picking outright winners.
| Tuesday,
November 22, 2011 |
| Miami,O |
93.7 | Ohio U | 101.7 | Ohio
U | 8 |
| Thursday,
November 24, 2011 |
| Texas | 108.6 | Texas
A&M | 126.1 | Texas
A&M | 18 |
|
Friday,
November 25, 2011
|
| Bowling Green |
87.3 | Buffalo |
88.8 | Buffalo |
1 |
| E Michigan |
82.2 | N Illinois | 113.6 | N
Illinois | 31 |
| Kent State |
88.1 | Temple |
98.2 | Temple | 10 |
| Akron |
58.7 | W Michigan | 107.5 | W
Michigan | 49 |
| Toledo | 102.5 | Ball
State | 93.0 | Toledo |
9 |
| Louisville | 110.0 | So
Florida | 110.5 | USF |
1 |
| Houston | 110.9 | Tulsa | 111.2 | Tulsa |
0 |
| Iowa |
98.4 | Nebraska | 110.1 | Nebraska | 12 |
| Pittsburgh |
97.5 | W Virginia | 114.6 | W
Virginia | 17 |
| Arkansas | 111.1 | LSU | 127.5 | LSU | 16 |
| Colorado |
87.6 | Utah | 106.3 | Utah | 19 |
| UTEP | 92.4 | UCF | 105.7 | UCF | 13 |
| California | 107.3 | Arizona
State | 115.5 | Arizona
State | 8 |
| Boston College | 100.7 | Miami,Fla | 115.3 | Miami,
Fla | 15 |
|
Saturday, November 26, 2011
|
| Ohio State | 101.2 | Michigan | 120.4 | Michigan | 19 |
| Missouri | 120.8 | Kansas |
76.3 | Missouri | 44 |
| Rutgers | 104.9 | Connecticut |
94.1 | Rutgers | 11 |
| Cincinnati | 105.2 | Syracuse | 106.6 | Syracuse |
1 |
| Michigan State | 106.6 | Northwestern |
97.0 | Michigan State | 10 |
| Purdue |
96.1 | Indiana |
90.3 | Purdue |
6 |
| Illinois | 100.9 | Minnesota |
88.1 | Illinois | 13 |
| Georgia | 116.7 | Georgia
Tech | 117.7 | Ga
Tech | 1 |
| Vanderbilt | 102.9 | Wake
Forest | 110.3 | Wake
Forest | 8 |
| Clemson | 104.1 | South
Carolina | 118.7 | South
Carolina | 15 |
| Maryland |
95.2 | NC State | 112.3 | NC
State | 17 |
| Duke |
93.3 | N Carolina | 108.0 | N
Carolina | 15 |
| Tennessee |
99.2 | Kentucky |
97.7 | Tennessee |
1 |
| Wyoming |
87.7 | Boise State | 114.5 | Boise
State | 27 |
| Nevada |
96.1 | Utah State |
96.5 | Utah State |
0 |
| Rice |
83.1 | SMU | 103.9 | SMU | 11 |
| Alabama | 135.7 | Auburn | 102.9 | Alabama | 33 |
| Oregon Sate |
97.8 | Oregon | 125.7 | Oregon | 28 |
|
| Virginia Tech | 118.8 | Virginia | 100.3 | Virginia
Tech | 18 |
| Penn State | 109.4 | Wisconsin | 133.4 | Wisconsin | 24 |
| Texas Tech | 109.8 | Baylor | 100.5 | Texas
Tech | 9 |
| Florida State | 121.8 | Florida | 113.4 | Florida
State | 8 |
| E Carolina |
81.4 | Marshall | 106.4 | Marshall | 25 |
| New Mexico St |
81.7 | Louisiana Tech |
90.7 | Louisiana Tech |
9 |
| Memphis |
70.9 | Southern Miss | 104.0 | Southern
Miss | 33 |
| Air Force | 100.8 | Colorado
State | 86.6 | Air
Force | 14 |
| Washington State |
95.6 | Washington | 112.6 | Washington | 17 |
| Mississippi |
88.4 | Mississippi State | 114.5 | Mississippi
State | 26 |
| Notre Dame | 115.0 | Stanford | 128.8 | Stanford | 14 |
| San Jose St |
87.4 | Fresno State |
85.8 | San Jose St |
2 |
| Iowa State | 107.4 | Oklahoma | 127.7 | Oklahoma | 20 |
| San Diego State |
98.1 | UNLV | 102.3 | UNLV |
4 |
|
| UCLA |
92.9 | USC | 119.5 | USC | 27 |
| Tulane |
85.0 | Hawaii |
97.8 | Hawaii | 13 |
| Troy |
88.4 | W Kentucky |
98.7 | W Kentucky | 10 |
| La-Lafayette |
96.7 | Arizona | 110.8 | Arizona | 14 |
| Fla International |
97.9 | Middle Tenn St |
73.6 | Fla Int | 24 |
| UAB |
79.0 | Fla Atlantic |
65.4 | UAB | 14 |
Wins/Losses
by Power Rating: Last Week: 39-15 72.2% Season:
392-160 71.0
TOP 30
1.
Alabama
134.1
2.
LSU
132.2
3.
Oklahoma
131.8
4.
Oregon
129.3
5.
Stanford
129.1
6.
Oklahoma State 127.8
7.
Wisconsin
125.4
8.
Arkansas
120.9
9.
Florida State
120.2
10.
USC 119.7
11.
Boise State
119.5
12.
Missouri
117.8
13.
Texas A&M
118.7
14.
Georgia
118.6
15.
Kans
State 118.2
16.
Houston
117.8
17.
South Carolina 117.5
18.
Michigan
116.4
20.
Notre Dame
116.3
21.
West
Virginia 114.6
21.
Arizona State 114.4
23.
Texas 114.1
24.
Miami,
Fla
113.6
25.
Clemson
113.1
26.
TCU
112.9
27. Baylor
112.7
28. Michigan
State 112.6
29. Utah
112.1
30. Ga
Tech 112.0
NCAA Conference Predictions:
NOTE: Researching
when each college football team played it's first game is challenging to say the
least. Information available at College Football Data Warehouse (www.collegefootballdatawarehouse.com)
has been a real blessing. The theory employed here is that when a team plays its
first regular game, that is the actual "birth" of the team. There are
questions that do arise and those will be talked about in another section of
this site at another time. When making season predictions, the two major
consideration are a progressed (one day for each year of existence-Florida State
played its first game in 1947. To see a progressed chart for 2011 we would see
where the planets and major points are 64 days after October 18, 1947 in
comparison to the positions at birth) declination chart and a transiting
declinations for the season. The declinations are where the planets were north
or south of the celestial equator at the birth of an event or individual.
The primary research challenge is to isolate a date
when a nickname began. As an example, Florida played several years of
football before the name Gators became accepted as the nickname. There
has been discussion as to exactly when Gators became official, but in
reviewing several charts for football dates in 1908 and the next year or
two, October 10, 1908 vibrates very well considering the timing of
championship seasons and coaching changes. It seems that one storekeeper
was visiting a manufacturer of pennants in 1907 and liked the alligator
as a nickname and ordered a bunch and sold them in his store in
1908. In astrology there is a method for determining the time of
birth of an individual called rectification. The best comparison of this
procedure would be "back-engineering" (when we hear about all
those alien spacecraft that have been recovered and taken to Area
51). Astrologers will take major events such as marriage, birth of
children, divorce, deaths of family members, relocation and major job
changes, etc to give us an idea of a rising sign and ultimately a birth
time. I like to use the progressed Moon and a graphic declination chart
for a rectification. I find it a timesaver.
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SEC-The SEC West is where the power is year
just like the last several. The Big Three teams are the usual suspects
Alabama and LSU with Arkansas getting ready to knock on the door. Ole
Miss could surprise a few after last year's 4-win season. Auburn
will be looking to reload and Mississippi State looks like they could
maintain last year's success level. It looks like everyone from this
division could be in a bowl this year. If the LSU quarterback situation
remains stable and at this writing(8/21) that could be a big
"if" I pick LSU to win this division and the SEC championship.
In the SEC East South Carolina should repeat as division champ. Georgia
could rebound and claim second place. The Gators have a new coach but
still could win 8 or 9 games. Tennessee should improve and Kentucky will
flirt with a breakeven season and Vandy brings up the rear.
SEC champ: LSU
Atlantic Coast Conference- So
many pundits say Florida State in the Atlantic division. It may not be
easy. NC State and Maryland have some favorable aspects but I'll go with
FSU but I'm not sold on them having a super year. 2014 and 2015 are
years where the 'Noles could grab a national championship. Anything
before then will be lots of hard work. The Coastal division will be
Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech. Virgina
Tech over Florida State again for
the ACC Championship.
Big East-By
far the weakest of the BCS conferences. Maybe TCU can save it but we'll
have to wait on the jury to see. Meanwhile The Connecticut Huskies look
like the team with the best chance and believe it or not, but I think
Syracuse will make a run at the top the next two years. Several other
teams are showing some sparks such as Louisville and Rutgers but not the
magic ring for this season. Big
East Champion: Connecticut
Big Ten(+2) The
brainchild that came up with the names of the new conference
divisions...at least they are alliterate. Leaders: Ohio State is
recovering from the progressed Moon parallel Pluto so the other
powerhouse in that division, Wisconsin has the progressed Moon parallel
the natal North node. This aspect is common when teams or athletes
experience record breaking or championship seasons. Even though the
Badger QB doesn't have a lot of experience, I pick Wisconsin 1, Penn
State 2, Ohio State 3. Look for Purdue to make some noise as they have
the progressed Moon at the Northern Extreme(NE). Legends: A
two-team battle for the division championship. Nebraska and Michigan
State. Nebraska's NE Moon is declining while The Spartan progressed Moon
is at the NE peak with the natal north node. Michigan State 1,
Nebraska 2. Michigan State
to win the Big 10 championship!
Big 12-2 Pfffft
it was gone! We may be in for major conference reshuffling
especially if/when Texas A&M leaves for the SEC. People are pissed
that Texas has its own TV network with lots of bucks. The problem with
these mega conferences is that when you get too many powerful schools in
the same conference, It makes it harder to be number one in that
conference. I personally think a 12-team league is about right. So
in this year of flux for what used to be the Big 12 and looks like it's
reverting back to the Big Eight, Oklahoma has the progressed Moon at the
NE with the north node. Texas A&M has some favorable things working
this year but it looks like Oklahoma 1, Texas A&M 2, Missouri 3 and
Baylor the surprise team of the conference. Champion:
Oklahoma
Pac 12-The
northern division holds the elite power of this newly expanded
conference...for the time being. Chip Kelly's program at Oregon could be
in the NCAA jailhouse(which needs to be expanded) and throws black
clouds over Eugene and many other college towns around the country. The
residue of a successful season last year may carry over but if Stanford
can survive a coaching change they should finish on top in this division
and take the first Pac 12 play-off game. Stanford, Oregon and Cal should
be 1-2-3 in the north. The southern division is wide open. We know USC
isn't going to the championship game no matter what their record. Utah
has the best aspects and just might surprise a few so-called experts.
Arizona and UCLA should be bowling and Arizona State should have a
winning season. Setting USC aside, it will be Utah, Arizona, Arizona
State and UCLA. Pac 12
champ: Stanford
Others- Looking
at Boise State, Notre Dame, TCU, and BYU. The Broncos are at the
progressed Moon southern extreme which often coincides with good years
but 2014 and 2015 are years where Boise State will be challenging the
BCS again. Notre Dame has a progressed Moon // Jupiter which could
mean 9 or 10 victories at best. BYU shows no indication of banner
seasons for awhile. TCU is an unknown as it has been difficult to come
up with a date when Horned Frogs became the official nickname. Horned
Frog was used from the beginning of their football teams in the 1890s
but the plural usage is what I'm searching for. When time permits, I'll
do some more rectification on that one.
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